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Money leaks2026-07-06 · 4 min read

Should I pay customers a discount to go prepaid?

A prepaid order almost never comes back. Once you see that gap, a small prepaid nudge pays for itself.

By Param, Founder

It feels wrong to hand a customer money to change how they pay. You already won the order. Why give up margin on it? The answer is in what happens after checkout, not at it.

Here is the gap that makes the math work. In India, cash on delivery orders come back at roughly 26 percent. Prepaid orders come back at under 2 percent. That is not a small edge. It means a prepaid order is close to a sure thing, and a COD order is a coin you are only partly holding.

So put a real number on the nudge. Say a prepaid order that fails would have cost you the full round trip of shipping plus handling. If moving a customer to prepaid removes almost all of that risk, then a small prepaid discount is not lost margin. It is an insurance premium you pay only on the orders that take it, to avoid a much larger loss on the ones that would have bounced.

The trick is to size the incentive under the cost of one return. If a failed COD order costs you a few hundred rupees in round trip and dead handling, a prepaid discount well below that number still comes out ahead every time it turns a wobbly order into a paid one. You are not discounting the sale. You are buying certainty for less than uncertainty costs you.

You do not even need to offer it to everyone. Offer it where the risk lives, on the higher value carts and the pin codes that bounce most. A store that nudges the right orders to prepaid keeps more of what it already sold, without touching a single ad. That is a sale you were going to lose, quietly saved.

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Param, Founder

Building SquareUp with our first brands. These notes come from the real numbers and questions we see running stores, not a content mill.

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